Automatic Qualifiers (9)
|
|
RPI |
SOS |
T5W |
T10 |
T20 |
26+ L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albany | 1 | 8 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 5-0 | UMBC (49) |
| Maryland | 2 | 4 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 6-1 | — |
| Yale | 4 | 12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-2 | — |
| Loyola | 9 | 12 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-3 | — |
| Denver | 12 | 28 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2-2 | — |
| UMass | 23 | 26 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-3 | Army (33) |
| Jacksonville | 34 | 48 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | Ohio State (32), High Point (38) |
| Bryant | 36 | 50 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | Drexel (29), Boston U. (35), Providence (47) |
| Quinnipiac | 55 | 63 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | UMass Lowell (39), Holy Cross (41), Fairfield (44), Hartford 51) |
Albany’s profile remains the best in Division I despite a misstep at UMBC on Friday. The head-to-head victory at Maryland will help the Great Danes, but they can’t afford to go into a tailspin, either. Chances are, they won’t once Connor Fields returns from injury. … Maryland: Still undefeated all-time against Michigan and Penn State. The Terps continue Big Ten play against Rutgers, which it last lost to in 1980. …
Yale probably cost itself a bit in seeding with its loss to Bucknell, but it remains the Ivy League leader. … Loyola still hasn’t lost to Lehigh since entering the Patriot League. The Greyhounds scored the first seven goals on the Mountain Hawks before cruising to a 16-10 victory, and they might not play on the road again between now and Selection Sunday. …
Has anyone put together a better game all season than what Denver did against Villanova? Albany (at Syracuse) and Loyola (against Johns Hopkins) stand out as alternate choices. The 22-6 rout puts the Pioneers in control of the Big East race. … UMass hasn’t won more than seven games since its perfect regular season in 2012. The Minutemen go for win No. 8 this week against Towson. …
Jacksonville has the best RPI of the four teams tied atop the Southern Conference, hence the Dolphins’ inclusion this week. … Bryant dusted off Wagner to remain at the top of the Northeast Conference. Saint Joseph’s is also undefeated in NEC play. … The bottom 18 teams in the RPI (out of 71) include the Metro Atlantic’s entire seven-team contingent. It’s going to take a surprising development for Quinnipiac (or whoever wins the MAAC) to avoid going on the road for a play-in game.
At-Large Bids (16 teams/8 spots)
|
|
RPI |
SOS |
T5W |
T10 |
T20 |
26+ L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3-3 | — |
| Johns Hopkins | 5 | 11 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 3-2 | — |
| Villanova | 6 | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-2 | — |
| Notre Dame | 7 | 6 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 2-3 | — |
| Duke | 8 | 3 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 4-2 | |
| Rutgers | 10 | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Princeton (31), Army (33) |
| Cornell | 13 | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-2 | Colgate (26) |
| Vermont | 14 | 58 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — |
| Bucknell | 15 | 12 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 2-2 | Richmond (40) |
| Virginia | 16 | 7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2-3 | — |
| Harvard | 17 | 35 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | Holy Cross (41) |
| Navy | 18 | 10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-3 | Jacksonville (34) |
| North Carolina | 19 | 9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1-4 | Hofstra (37), Richmond (40) |
| Penn State | 20 | 21 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-3 | — |
| Brown | 21 | 18 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2-2 | Quinnipiac (55) |
| Robert Morris | 22 | 47 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-1 | Georgetown (26), Bryant (36) |
It’s a big week for Syracuse, which faces Cornell on Tuesday and then can seal the ACC regular season title Saturday against North Carolina. The Orange’s numbers look good beyond the absence of a truly high-end victory. … Johns Hopkins keeps winning. The Blue Jays get the next two on the road (Penn State and Michigan) and can further solidify their chances of earning an NCAA tournament home game with a couple more victories. …
Villanova still has a decent claim to a home game even after a 22-6 loss to Denver. Doesn’t mean it will remain that way in another four weeks. … Duke made a big RPI jump after smothering Notre Dame on the road. The Blue Devils now own more top-20 victories than everyone other than Albany and Maryland.
The less said about Notre Dame and its offense over the last two weeks, the better. … Rutgers held serve against Michigan in impressive fashion. Now, can the Scarlet Knights finally navigate Maryland and add a second signature victory to their resume? …
Just re-stating the obvious: Tuesday’s visit from Syracuse has considerable postseason implications for Cornell. A win would be a major asset for Jeff Teat and the Big Red. … Not only is Vermont missing a top-20 victory, it owns just one triumph against the top half of Division I. That came against Jacksonville (No. 34). …
Bucknell has won at both Loyola and Yale and during its current winning streak. Those victories give the Bison a slight edge over Virginia for the last spot in the field for now. … Speaking of the Cavaliers, their 18-game losing streak in ACC regular season games is finally over.
To be a serious at-large threat, Harvard needs a quality victory somewhere along the way. That means beating Yale at the end of the month. … Navy has won seven of its last nine. The Midshipmen would have an interesting case without that season-opening loss at Jacksonville (which, admittedly, doesn’t look as bad on paper now as it did two months ago) …
Penn State couldn’t finish the job against Maryland, so it still has a lot of work to do. … Now on a six-game skid, North Carolina will fall under .500 — and off the board —with a loss to Syracuse this week. …
The best thing going for Brown, besides victories over Penn and Villanova, is opportunity. The Bears are the only Ivy team with games remaining against Cornell and Yale. … Robert Morris needs Penn State to do well, so the Nittany Lions’ loss Sunday didn’t help the Colonials at all. …
Missing from this chart is Penn, which checks in at No. 11 in the RPI but would be ineligible if the tournament was selected today because of its sub-.500 record (5-6). … The at-large chart shrank from 20 teams to 16 this week, and even a couple of those included this time around are long shots because of strength of schedule issues.
PROJECTED BRACKET
A few reminders on piecing together the bracket. …
* The committee seeds the top eight teams and then assigns the unseeded teams based on geography in an attempt to limit air travel while trying to maintain bracket integrity.
* Conference matchups are to be avoided in the first round.
* If applicable, quarterfinal host schools are funneled into their own site. Hofstra and Navy are this year’s quarterfinal hosts.
* Of the nine automatic qualifiers, the two with the weakest resumes are assigned to the preliminary round game the Wednesday before the first round. At-large teams are not selected for play-in games.
Hempstead, N.Y.
(1) AMERICA EAST/Albany vs. NORTHEAST/Bryant-METRO ATLANTIC/Quinnipiac
(8) Notre Dame vs. Denver
Annapolis, Md.
(5) IVY/Yale vs. Rutgers
(4) Johns Hopkins vs. Bucknell
Hempstead, N.Y.
(3) Syracuse vs. COLONIAL/UMass
(6) Duke vs. PATRIOT/Loyola
Annapolis, Md.
(7) Villanova vs. Cornell
(2) BIG TEN/Maryland vs. SOUTHERN/Jacksonville
Last four in: Villanova, Cornell, Rutgers, Bucknell
First four out: Virginia, North Carolina, Penn State, Navy
Multi-bid conferences: Atlantic Coast (3), Big Ten (3), Big East (2), Ivy (2) Patriot (2)
Moving in: Bucknell, Jacksonville, Quinnipiac
Moving out: Canisius, Furman, Penn