18. MASSACHUSETTS
2018 record: 12-5 (5-0 Colonial)
Last seen: Dropping 13 goals on Yale in the first round of the NCAA tournament – in retrospect, a pretty impressive accomplishment against a defense that held Loyola and Albany in check the following two rounds.
Senior starts lost: 45 of 170 (26.5 percent)
Senior scoring departing: 107 of 323 points (33.1 percent)
Initial forecast: Can the Minutemen build off their superb in-season turnaround? That’s the pressing question for Massachusetts, which followed up a 1-4 start with an 11-game winning streak and a perfect run through the Colonial. There are major graduation losses, but they are scattered across the field: Attackman Buddy Carr (39 goals, 25 assists), faceoff man Noah Rak (59.3 percent) and defenseman Luc Valenza. Nonetheless, both of the Minutemen’s honorable mention All-America selections will be back, including midfielder Jeff Trainor (28 goals, 22 assists) and defenseman Isaac Paparo (25 caused turnovers). Sean Sconone (.588 save percentage) will again be a presence in the cage and help stabilize the UMass defense. The Minutemen went 0-3 against tournament teams in 2018 (two losses to Yale and one to Albany), and the absence of high-end victories is a reason to rein in expectations a little. Even with that caveat, a team that didn’t feast on close games (just three victories by less than four goals) that brings back seven guys with at least 10 goals, its best defenseman and its goalie probably isn’t due for regression. Massachusetts should be in the hunt for another CAA title next year.
17. GEORGETOWN
2018 record: 12-5 (3-2 Big East)
Last seen: Controlling play at Johns Hopkins for nearly three quarters in the program’s first NCAA tournament game in 11 years before the Blue Jays rallied to earn an overtime victory in the first round.
Senior starts lost: 58 of 170 (34.1 percent)
Senior scoring departing: 89 of 304 points (29.3 percent)
Initial forecast: The offense is probably going to carry the day, at least initially, for the Hoyas next season. First-year offensive coordinator Mike Phipps did a stellar job of tightening things up this spring, and the result was a balanced offense that cut down on its mistakes. Georgetown had four 20-20 guys, and while senior Craig Berge graduates, the Hoyas have Daniel Bucaro (34 goals, 21 assists), Jake Carraway (44 goals, 20 assists) and Lucas Wittenberg (23 goals, 20 assists) to provide the fine start on offense. But getting those guys the ball – and getting stops – will probably be more complicated in 2019. Georgetown graduates a first team All-America goalie (Nick Marrocco), primary faceoff man Peter Tagliaferri (54.1 percent) and third team All-America short stick Ryan Hursey. There’s also the intangibles provided by the entire senior class, which had slogged through a combined 6-22 record the previous two years before bagging a surprise Big East tournament title. How strong was the cultural foundation they built? And do the Hoyas remain hungry? And is a capable replacement for Marrocco in the pipeline? All are questions Kevin Warne’s team will have to answer next spring. Here’s guessing Georgetown eventually figures things out and again contends for an NCAA berth, but there could be some early stumbles while sorting through everything.